1991 Portuguese legislative election

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1991 Portuguese legislative election





← 1987
6 October 1991
1995 →


230 seats to the Portuguese Assembly
116 seats needed for a majority
Registered8,462,357 Increase6.7%
Turnout5,735,431 (67.8%)
Decrease3.8 pp












































































 
First party
Second party
 

Cavaco Silva 2007.jpg

Jorge Sampaio 2.jpg
Leader

Aníbal Cavaco Silva

Jorge Sampaio
Party

PSD

PS
Leader since
2 June 1985
15 January 1989
Leader's seat

Lisbon[1]

Lisbon[2]
Last election
148 seats, 50.2%
60 seats, 22.2%
Seats won

135
72
Seat change

Decrease 13

Increase 12
Popular vote

2,902,351
1,670,758
Percentage

50.6%
29.1%
Swing

Increase 0.4 pp

Increase 6.9 pp

 
Third party
Fourth party
 

Alvaro Cunhal 1980 (cropped).jpg

Freitas do Amaral, XV Cimeira Ibero-Americana - Salamanca, Espanha.jpg
Leader

Álvaro Cunhal

Diogo Freitas do Amaral
Party

PCP

CDS
Alliance

CDU

Leader since
30 September 1987
31 January 1988
Leader's seat

Lisbon

Lisbon[3]
Last election
31 seats, 12.1%
4 seats, 4.4%
Seats won
17
5
Seat change

Decrease 14

Increase 1
Popular vote
504,583
254,317
Percentage
8.8%
4.4%
Swing

Decrease 3.3 pp

Decrease 0.0 pp





Prime Minister before election

Aníbal Cavaco Silva
PSD



Elected Prime Minister

Aníbal Cavaco Silva
PSD


The Portuguese legislative election of 1991 took place on 6 October. The Social Democratic Party, under the lead of Cavaco Silva, won a historic third term and won with an absolute majority for the second consecutive turn, achieving a higher share than in the previous election, losing, however, 13 MPs due to the reduction of the overall number from the original 250 to 230. Cavaco Silva became the first Prime Minister since Hintze Ribeiro, in 1904, to lead a party into three successive democratic election victories.


The Socialist Party, at the time led by Jorge Sampaio, the future President of Portugal, increased the share by 7% and gained 12 MPs, but did not manage to avoid the absolute majority of the Social Democrats. In the first legislative election after the fall of the Eastern Bloc, the communist dominated Democratic Unity Coalition lost much of its electoral influence, losing 14 MPs and 4% of the voting.


On the right, the CDS could not recover its past influence, mainly to the effect of tactical voting for the Social Democratic Party by right-wing voters, increasing its parliamentary group by only 1 MP. The National Solidarity Party, using a populist campaign, achieved for the first time an MP, in what would be the only presence of such party in the Parliament.


Voter turnout fell to 67.8%, and for the first time below 70% of the electorate.




Contents





  • 1 Electoral system


  • 2 Parties


  • 3 Opinion Polling


  • 4 National summary of votes and seats

    • 4.1 Distribution by constituency


    • 4.2 Maps



  • 5 References


  • 6 External links


  • 7 See also




Electoral system


The Parliament of the Portuguese Republic consists of a single chamber, the Assembly of the Republic, composed of 230 members directly elected by universal adult suffrage for a maximum term of four years. Assembly members represent the entire country, rather than the constituencies in which they were elected. Governments require majority support in the Assembly in order to remain in office. This election saw a reduction of seats to 230 from the 250 in the previous elections.


Each one of Portugal's eighteen administrative districts, as well as each one of the country's two autonomous regions - the Azores and Madeira - is an electoral constituency. Portuguese voters residing outside the national territory are grouped into two electoral constituencies - Europe and the rest of the world - each one of which elects two Assembly members. The remaining 226 seats are allocated among the national territory constituencies in proportion to their number of registered electors.


Political parties and party coalitions may present lists of candidates. The lists are closed, so electors may not choose individual candidates in or alter the order of such lists. Electors cast a ballot for a single list. The seats in each constituency are divided among parties according to the largest average method of proportional representation (PR), conceived by the Belgian mathematician Victor d'Hondt in 1899. Although there is no statutory threshold for participation in the allocation of Assembly seats, there is an effective threshold at the constituency level that depends on the district magnitude.[4] The use of the d'Hondt method makes for a higher effective threshold than certain other allocation method such as the Hare quota or Sainte-Laguë method, which are more generous to small parties.[5]



Parties


The major parties involved and the respective leaders:



  • Democratic Unity Coalition (CDU), Álvaro Cunhal


  • Socialist Party (PS), Jorge Sampaio


  • Social Democratic Party (PSD), Cavaco Silva


  • CDS - People's Party (CDS), Diogo Freitas do Amaral

Aníbal Cavaco Silva, leader of the Social Democratic Party, was nominated Prime Minister for the third consecutive time.



Opinion Polling



The following table shows the opinion polls of voting intention of the Portuguese voters before the election. Those parties that are listed are currently represented in parliament. Included is also the result of the Portuguese general elections in 1987 and 1991 for reference.


Note, until 2000, the publication of opinion polls in the last week of the campaign was forbidden.






































































































































































Date Released
Polling Firm

PSD

PS

CDU

CDS
Others
Lead




6 Oct 1991
Leg. Election
50.6
135 seats
29.1
72 seats
8.8
17 seats
4.4
5 seats
7.1
1 seat
21.5
6 Oct

RTP1 - Universidade Católica

48.0–51.9
28.5–31.5
7.5–10.0
4.5–5.5


19.5–20.4
6 Oct

TSF/Expresso - Euroexpansão

45.8–50.2
29.8–33.9
6.8–9.1
3.7–5.5


16.0–16.3
6 Oct

Antena1 - Euroteste

47.0–50.0
31.0–34.0
7.5–10.0
4.0–5.0


16.0
6 Oct

Rádio Comercial - GEOIDEIA

49.0–52.0
29.0–31.0
7.0–9.0
3.0–4.0


20.0–21.0
6 Oct

Rádio Press

45.5
35.0
9.6
4.5


10.5
Exit polls
28 Sep

Euroteste

47.3
35.5
8.5
4.1
4.6
11.8
28 Sep

Euroteste

46.0
37.0
9.7
3.9
3.4
9.0
28 Sep

Euroexpansão

44.0
33.0
9.0
6.0
8.0
11.0
27 Sep

Marktest

43.1
32.8
7.7
4.6
11.8
10.3
27 Sep

Pluriteste

41.2
34.7
8.4
8.1
7.6
6.5
20 Sep

Euroteste

45.6
35.5
10.0
4.4
4.5
10.1
20 Sep

Marktest

41.9
31.9
7.3
4.4
14.5
10.0
16 Sep

Pluriteste

39.2
26.6
6.2
6.0
22.0
12.6
16 Sep

Euroteste

45.1
34.5
10.2
5.2
5.0
10.6
14 Sep

Norma

45.0
37.5
11.2
3.5
2.8
7.5
28 Aug

Euroexpansão/Marktest
35.3

36.8
8.7
4.9
14.3
1.5
4 Aug

Euroteste/JN

47.5
37.8
12.3
8.2
N/A
7.7
1991
19 Jul 1987

Leg. Election
50.2
148 seats
22.2
60 seats
12.1
31 seats
4.4
4 seats
11.1
7 seats
28.0


National summary of votes and seats










































































































































































e • d Summary of the 6 October 1991 Assembly of the Republic elections results

AR Eleicoes 1991.svg

Parties
Votes
%
±

MPs
MPs %/
votes %

1987
1991
±
%
±


Social Democratic
2,902,35150.60
Increase0.4
148135
Decrease13
58.70
Decrease0.5
1.16


Socialist
1,670,75829.13
Increase6.9
6072
Increase12
31.30
Increase7.3
1.07


Democratic Unity Coalition[A]
504,5838.80
Decrease3.3
3117
Decrease14
7.39
Decrease5.0
0.84


Democratic and Social Centre
254,3174.43
Decrease0.0
45
Increase1
2.17
Increase0.6
0.49


National Solidarity
96,0961.68N/AN/A1N/A0.44N/A0.39


Revolutionary Socialist
64,1591.12
Increase0.5
00
Steady0
0.00
Steady0.0
0.0


Portuguese Workers' Communist
48,5420.85
Increase0.5
00
Steady0
0.00
Steady0.0
0.0


Democratic Renewal
35,0770.61
Decrease4.3
70
Decrease7
0.00
Decrease2.8
0.0


People's Monarchist
25,2160.44
Increase0.0
00
Steady0
0.00
Steady0.0
0.0


Democratic Party of the Atlantic
10,8420.19N/AN/A0N/A0.00N/A0.0


Left Revolutionary Front
6,6610.12N/AN/A0N/A0.00N/A0.0


People's Democratic Union[B]
6,1570.11
Decrease0.8
00
Steady0
0.00
Steady0.0
0.0

Total valid

5,624,759

98.07

Increase0.3

250

230

Decrease20

100.00

Steady0.0


Blank ballots
47,6520.83
Decrease0.1

Invalid ballots
63,0201.10
Decrease0.2

Total (turnout 67.78%)

5,735,431

100.00

Decrease3.8

A Portuguese Communist Party (15 MPs) and "The Greens" (2 MPs) ran in coalition.[6]
B People's Democratic Union electoral list only in Madeira and Azores.

Source: Comissão Nacional de Eleições





































Vote share
PSD
50.60%
PS
29.13%
CDU
8.80%
CDS
4.43%
PSN
1.68%
PSR
1.12%
PCTP/MRPP
0.85%
PRD
0.61%
Others
0.86%
Blank/Invalid
1.93%























Parliamentary seats
PSD
58.70%
PS
31.30%
CDU
7.39%
CDS
2.17%
PSN
0.43%



Distribution by constituency





































































































































































































































































































e • d Results of the 1991 election of the Portuguese Assembly of the Republic
by constituency
Constituency%S%S%S%S%S
Total
S

PSD

PS

CDU

CDS

PSN

Azores
64.1

4
25.8

1
1.3
-
3.4
-


5

Aveiro
58.6

9
27.8

4
2.8
-
6.1

1
1.3
-

14

Beja
29.3

1
28.4

1
30.4

2
2.3
-
1.0
-

4

Braga
53.6

10
31.5

5
4.6
-
5.6

1
0.8
-

16

Bragança
57.9

3
25.7

1
2.1
-
8.2
-
1.5
-

4

Castelo Branco
51.8

3
32.4

2
4.6
-
3.9
-
2.3
-

5

Coimbra
49.9

6
34.4

4
5.0
-
3.5
-
1.7
-

10

EvoraÉvora
35.0

2
25.9

1
27.1

1
2.8
-
1.4
-

4

Faro
50.8

5
31.2

3
7.2
-
2.8
-
2.2
-

8

Guarda
58.6

3
26.8

1
2.3
-
5.9
-
1.3
-

4

Leiria
61.2

7
23.0

3
4.5
-
4.8
-
1.4
-

10

Lisbon
45.3

25
29.7

16
12.2

6
4.0

2
2.6

1

50

Madeira
62.4

4
20.2

1
1.0
-
6.1
-
1.9
-

5

Portalegre
38.9

2
33.5

1
15.2
-
3.3
-
1.8
-

3

Porto
51.3

21
32.9

13
6.4

2
4.1

1
1.1
-

37

Santarém
49.1

6
29.4

3
9.8

1
3.3
-
2.2
-

10

Setúbal
34.7

6
28.4

5
24.9

5
2.7
-
2.4
-

16

Viana do Castelo
56.9

4
25.2

2
5.0
-
7.2
-
1.2
-

6

Vila Real
60.6

4
26.0

2
2.6
-
5.1
-
1.2
-

6

Viseu
64.3

7
19.4

2
2.1
-
6.3
-
1.3
-

9

zEurope
53.7

1
31.9

1
7.8
-
3.0
-


2

zRest of the World
77.3

2
4.9
-
1.0
-
14.6
-

2

Total

50.6

135

29.1

72

8.8

17

4.4

5

1.7

1

230
Source: Comissão Nacional de Eleições


Maps




References




  1. ^ Assembleia da República - Deputados e Grupos Parlamentares


  2. ^ Assembleia da República - Deputados e Grupos Parlamentares


  3. ^ Assembleia da República - Deputados e Grupos Parlamentares


  4. ^ "Effective threshold in electoral systems". Trinity College, Dublin. Retrieved 2015-10-21..mw-parser-output cite.citationfont-style:inherit.mw-parser-output qquotes:"""""""'""'".mw-parser-output code.cs1-codecolor:inherit;background:inherit;border:inherit;padding:inherit.mw-parser-output .cs1-lock-free abackground:url("//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/6/65/Lock-green.svg/9px-Lock-green.svg.png")no-repeat;background-position:right .1em center.mw-parser-output .cs1-lock-limited a,.mw-parser-output .cs1-lock-registration abackground:url("//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/d/d6/Lock-gray-alt-2.svg/9px-Lock-gray-alt-2.svg.png")no-repeat;background-position:right .1em center.mw-parser-output .cs1-lock-subscription abackground:url("//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/a/aa/Lock-red-alt-2.svg/9px-Lock-red-alt-2.svg.png")no-repeat;background-position:right .1em center.mw-parser-output .cs1-subscription,.mw-parser-output .cs1-registrationcolor:#555.mw-parser-output .cs1-subscription span,.mw-parser-output .cs1-registration spanborder-bottom:1px dotted;cursor:help.mw-parser-output .cs1-hidden-errordisplay:none;font-size:100%.mw-parser-output .cs1-visible-errorfont-size:100%.mw-parser-output .cs1-subscription,.mw-parser-output .cs1-registration,.mw-parser-output .cs1-formatfont-size:95%.mw-parser-output .cs1-kern-left,.mw-parser-output .cs1-kern-wl-leftpadding-left:0.2em.mw-parser-output .cs1-kern-right,.mw-parser-output .cs1-kern-wl-rightpadding-right:0.2em


  5. ^ Gallaher, Michael (1992). "Comparing Proportional Representation Electoral Systems: Quotas, Thresholds, Paradoxes and Majorities"


  6. ^ Electoral results - Assembly of the Republic




External links


  • Comissão Nacional de Eleições

  • Centro de Estudos do Pensamento Político


See also


  • Politics of Portugal

  • List of political parties in Portugal

  • Elections in Portugal







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