United States presidential election, 1988

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The United States presidential election of 1988 was the 51st quadrennial United States presidential election. It was held on Tuesday, November 8, 1988. Incumbent Vice President George H. W. Bush, the Republican nominee, defeated Democratic Governor Michael Dukakis of Massachusetts. The 1988 election is the only election since 1948 in which either major party won a third straight presidential election.


Incumbent President Ronald Reagan was ineligible to seek a third term, due to term limits established by the 22nd Amendment. With Reagan's support, Bush entered the 1988 Republican primaries as the front-runner. He defeated Senator Bob Dole and televangelist Pat Robertson to win the nomination, and selected Senator Dan Quayle of Indiana as his running mate. Dukakis won the 1988 Democratic primaries after Democratic leaders such as Gary Hart and Ted Kennedy withdrew or declined to run. He selected Senator Lloyd Bentsen of Texas – who had defeated Bush in a U.S. Senate race 18 years earlier – as his running mate.


Running an aggressive campaign, Bush capitalized on a good economy and Reagan's popularity. He attacked Dukakis as an elitist, left-wing "Massachusetts liberal", and Dukakis failed to respond effectively to Bush's criticism. Bush pulled ahead in opinion polling conducted in September and won by a substantial margin in both the popular and electoral vote. No candidate since 1988 has managed to equal or surpass Bush's share of the electoral or popular vote. Dukakis won 45.6% of the popular vote and carried ten states and Washington, D.C. Bush became the first sitting vice president to be elected president since Martin Van Buren in 1836.




Contents





  • 1 Republican Party nomination

    • 1.1 Candidates gallery



  • 2 Democratic Party nomination

    • 2.1 Primaries


    • 2.2 Democratic Convention



  • 3 Other nominations

    • 3.1 Libertarian Party


    • 3.2 New Alliance Party


    • 3.3 Socialist Party


    • 3.4 Populist Party


    • 3.5 Rhinoceros Party



  • 4 General election

    • 4.1 Campaign


    • 4.2 Polling


    • 4.3 Results



  • 5 Statistics

    • 5.1 Results by state


    • 5.2 Close states



  • 6 Voter demographics


  • 7 See also


  • 8 References


  • 9 Further reading


  • 10 External links




Republican Party nomination



Republican candidates



  • George H. W. Bush, Vice President of the United States[3]


  • Bob Dole, U.S. senator from Kansas[4]


  • Pat Robertson, televangelist from Virginia[5]


  • Jack Kemp, U.S. representative from New York[6]


  • Pierre S. du Pont, IV, former governor of Delaware[7]


  • Alexander Haig, former Secretary of State, from Pennsylvania[8]


  • Ben Fernandez, former Special Ambassador to Paraguay, from California[9]


  • Paul Laxalt, former Senator from Nevada[10]


  • Donald Rumsfeld, former Secretary of Defense, from Illinois[11]


  • Harold E. Stassen, former Governor of Minnesota[12]


  • Isabell Masters, perennial candidate from Kansas[13]

United States presidential election, 1988






← 1984
November 8, 1988
1992 →


All 538 electoral votes of the Electoral College
270 electoral votes needed to win
Turnout
50.2%[1]Decrease 3.1 pp






























 

1988 Bush.jpg

1988 Dukakis.jpg
Nominee

George H. W. Bush

Michael Dukakis

Party

Republican

Democratic
Home state

Texas

Massachusetts
Running mate

Dan Quayle

Lloyd Bentsen
Electoral vote

426
111[2]
States carried

40
10 + DC
Popular vote

48,886,097
41,809,074
Percentage

53.4%
45.6%



United States presidential election in California, 1988United States presidential election in Oregon, 1988United States presidential election in Washington (state), 1988United States presidential election in Idaho, 1988United States presidential election in Nevada, 1988United States presidential election in Utah, 1988United States presidential election in Arizona, 1988United States presidential election in Montana, 1988United States presidential election in Wyoming, 1988United States presidential election in Colorado, 1988United States presidential election in New Mexico, 1988United States presidential election in North Dakota, 1988United States presidential election in South Dakota, 1988United States presidential election in Nebraska, 1988United States presidential election in Kansas, 1988United States presidential election in Oklahoma, 1988United States presidential election in Texas, 1988United States presidential election in Minnesota, 1988United States presidential election in Iowa, 1988United States presidential election in Missouri, 1988United States presidential election in Arkansas, 1988United States presidential election in Louisiana, 1988United States presidential election in Wisconsin, 1988United States presidential election in Illinois, 1988United States presidential election in Michigan, 1988United States presidential election in Indiana, 1988United States presidential election in Ohio, 1988United States presidential election in Kentucky, 1988United States presidential election in Tennessee, 1988United States presidential election in Mississippi, 1988United States presidential election in Alabama, 1988United States presidential election in Georgia, 1988United States presidential election in Florida, 1988United States presidential election in South Carolina, 1988United States presidential election in North Carolina, 1988United States presidential election in Virginia, 1988United States presidential election in West Virginia, 1988United States presidential election in the District of Columbia, 1988United States presidential election in Maryland, 1988United States presidential election in Delaware, 1988United States presidential election in Pennsylvania, 1988United States presidential election in New Jersey, 1988United States presidential election in New York, 1988United States presidential election in Connecticut, 1988United States presidential election in Rhode Island, 1988United States presidential election in Vermont, 1988United States presidential election in New Hampshire, 1988United States presidential election in Maine, 1988United States presidential election in Massachusetts, 1988United States presidential election in Hawaii, 1988United States presidential election in Alaska, 1988United States presidential election in the District of Columbia, 1988United States presidential election in Maryland, 1988United States presidential election in Delaware, 1988United States presidential election in New Jersey, 1988United States presidential election in Connecticut, 1988United States presidential election in Rhode Island, 1988United States presidential election in Massachusetts, 1988United States presidential election in Vermont, 1988United States presidential election in New Hampshire, 1988ElectoralCollege1988.svg
About this image


Presidential election results map. Red denotes states won by Bush/Quayle, blue denotes those won by Dukakis/Bentsen, light blue is the electoral vote for Bentsen/Dukakis by a West Virginia faithless elector. Numbers indicate electoral votes allotted to the winner of each state.






President before election

Ronald Reagan
Republican



Elected President

George H. W. Bush
Republican











Republican Party Ticket, 1988

George H. W. Bush

Dan Quayle

for President

for Vice President

1988 Bush.jpg


Dan Quayle crop.jpg


43rd
Vice President of the United States
(1981–1989)

U.S. Senator
from Indiana
(1981–1989)

Campaign

Bushquayle1988.gif


Candidates gallery


Vice President George H. W. Bush had the support of President Ronald Reagan, and pledged to continue Reagan's policies, but also vowed a "kinder and gentler nation" in an attempt to win over some more moderate voters. The duties delegated to him during Reagan's second term (mostly because of the President's advanced age, Reagan turning 78 just after he left office) gave him an unusually high level of experience for a vice president.


Bush unexpectedly came in third in the Iowa caucus, which he had won in 1980, behind Dole and Robertson. Dole was also leading in the polls of the New Hampshire primary, and the Bush camp responded by running television commercials portraying Dole as a tax raiser, while Governor John H. Sununu campaigned for Bush. Dole did nothing to counter these ads and Bush won, thereby gaining crucial momentum, which he called "Big Mo".[14]


Once the multiple-state primaries such as Super Tuesday began, Bush's organizational strength and fund raising lead were impossible for the other candidates to match, and the nomination was his. The Republican Party convention was held in New Orleans, Louisiana. Bush was nominated unanimously. Bush selected U.S. Senator Dan Quayle of Indiana as his running mate.


In his acceptance speech, Bush made the pledge "Read my lips: No new taxes", a comment that would come to haunt him constantly as the economy collapsed in early to mid 1990, which cost him the 1992 election.



Democratic Party nomination



The candidates seeking the Democratic party nomination were:



  • Michael Dukakis, governor of Massachusetts[15]


  • Jesse Jackson, clergyman and civil rights leader from Illinois[16]


  • Al Gore, U.S. senator from Tennessee[17]


  • Dick Gephardt, U.S. representative from Missouri[18]


  • Paul Simon, U.S. senator from Illinois[19]


  • Gary Hart, former U.S. senator from Colorado[20]


  • Bruce Babbitt, former governor of Arizona[21]


  • Joe Biden, U.S. senator from Delaware[22]


  • Lyndon LaRouche, economist from Virginia[23]


  • David Duke, white nationalist from Louisiana[24]


  • James Traficant, U.S. representative from Ohio[25]


  • Douglas Applegate, U.S. representative from Ohio[26]


  • Andy Martin, perennial candidate from Connecticut[27]










Democratic Party Ticket, 1988

Michael Dukakis

Lloyd Bentsen

for President

for Vice President

1988 Dukakis.jpg


Lloyd Bentsen crop.jpg


65th and 67th
Governor of Massachusetts
(1975–1979, 1983–1991)

U.S. Senator
from Texas
(1971–1993)

Campaign

Dukakisbentsen1988.gif

In the 1984 presidential election the Democrats had nominated Walter Mondale, a traditional New Deal-type[clarification needed] liberal as their candidate. When Mondale was defeated in a landslide, party leaders became eager to find a new approach to get away from the 1980 and 1984 debacles. After Bush's image was affected by his involvement on the Iran-Contra scandal much more than Reagan's, and after the Democrats won back control of the U.S. Senate in the 1986 congressional elections following an economic downturn, the party's leaders felt optimistic about having a closer race with the GOP in 1988, although probabilities of winning the presidency were still marginal given the climate of prosperity.


One goal of the party was to find a new, fresh candidate who could move beyond the traditional New Deal-Great Society ideas of the past and offer a new image of the Democrats to the public. To this end party leaders tried to recruit the New York Governor, Mario Cuomo, to be a candidate. Cuomo had impressed many Democrats with his keynote speech at the 1984 Democratic Convention, and they believed he would be a strong candidate.[28] After Cuomo chose not to run, the Democratic frontrunner for most of 1987 was former Colorado Senator Gary Hart.[29] He had made a strong showing in the 1984 presidential primaries and, after Mondale's defeat, had positioned himself as the moderate centrist many Democrats felt their party would need to win.[30]


But questions and rumors about extramarital affairs and past debts dogged Hart's campaign.[31] Hart had told New York Times reporters who questioned him about these rumors that, if they followed him around, they would "be bored". In a separate investigation, the Miami Herald had received an anonymous tip from a friend of Donna Rice that Rice was involved with Hart. After his affair emerged, the Herald reporters found Hart's quote in a pre-print of The New York Times magazine.[32] After the Herald's findings were publicized, many other media outlets picked up the story and Hart's ratings in the polls plummeted. On May 8, 1987, a week after the Rice story broke, Hart dropped out of the race.[31] His campaign chair, Representative Patricia Schroeder, tested the waters for about four months after Hart's withdrawal, but decided in September 1987 that she would not run.[33] In December 1987, Hart surprised many pundits by resuming his campaign,[34] but the allegations of adultery had delivered a fatal blow to his candidacy, and he did poorly in the primaries before dropping out again.[35]


Senator Ted Kennedy of Massachusetts had been considered a potential candidate, but he ruled himself out of the race in the fall of 1985. Two other politicians mentioned as possible candidates, both from Arkansas, did not join the race: Senator Dale Bumpers and Governor and future President Bill Clinton.


Joe Biden's campaign also ended in controversy after he was accused of plagiarizing a speech by Neil Kinnock, then-leader of the British Labour Party.[36] The Dukakis campaign secretly released a video in which Biden was filmed repeating a Kinnock stump speech with only minor modifications.[37] This ultimately led him to drop out of the race. Dukakis later revealed that his campaign was responsible for leaking the tape, and two members of his staff resigned. The Delaware Supreme Court's Board on Professional Responsibility would later clear Biden of the law school plagiarism charges.[38]


Al Gore, a Senator from Tennessee, also chose to run for the nomination. Turning 40 in 1988, he would have been the youngest man to contest the Presidency on a major party ticket since William Jennings Bryan in 1896, and the youngest president ever if elected, younger than John F. Kennedy at election age and Theodore Roosevelt at age of assumption of office. He eventually became the 45th Vice President of the United States under Bill Clinton, then the Democratic presidential nominee in 2000. Gore was later defeated by George W. Bush, George H.W.'s son, in 2000.



Primaries


After Hart withdrew from the race, no clear frontrunner emerged before the primaries and caucuses began. The Iowa caucus was won by Dick Gephardt, who had been sagging heavily in the polls until, three weeks before the vote, he began campaigning as a populist and his numbers surged. Illinois Senator Paul M. Simon finished a surprising second, and Massachusetts Governor Michael Dukakis finished third. In the New Hampshire primary, Dukakis came in first, Gephardt fell to second, and Simon came in third. In an effort to weaken Gephardt's candidacy, both Dukakis and Gore ran negative television ads against Gephardt. The ads convinced the United Auto Workers, which had endorsed Gephardt, to withdraw their endorsement; this crippled Gephardt, as he relied heavily on the support of labor unions.


In the Super Tuesday races, Dukakis won six primaries, to Gore's five, Jesse Jackson five and Gephardt one, with Gore and Jackson splitting the Southern states. The next week, Simon won Illinois with Jackson finishing second. 1988 remains the race with the most candidates winning primaries since the McGovern reforms of 1971.[clarification needed] Jackson captured 6.9 million votes and won 11 contests: seven primaries (Alabama, the District of Columbia, Georgia, Louisiana, Mississippi, Puerto Rico and Virginia) and four caucuses (Delaware, Michigan, South Carolina and Vermont). He also scored March victories in Alaska's caucuses and Texas's local conventions, despite losing the Texas primary. Briefly, after he won 55% of the vote in the Michigan Democratic caucus, he had more pledged delegates than all the other candidates.


Jackson's campaign suffered a significant setback less than two weeks later when he was defeated in the Wisconsin primary by Dukakis. Dukakis's win in New York and then in Pennsylvania effectively ended Jackson's hopes for the nomination.



Democratic Convention


The Democratic Party Convention was held in Atlanta, Georgia from July 18–21. Arkansas Governor Bill Clinton placed Dukakis's name in nomination, but the nominating speech lasted for so long that some delegates began booing to get him to finish, and he received great cheering when he said, "In closing...".[39]


Texas State Treasurer Ann Richards, who was elected the state governor two years later, gave a speech attacking George Bush, including the line "Poor George, he can't help it, he was born with a silver foot in his mouth."


With only Jackson remaining as an active candidate to oppose Dukakis, the tally for president was:



































Balloting
Presidential ballotVice Presidential ballot
Michael S. Dukakis2,876.25Lloyd M. Bentsen4,162
Jesse L. Jackson1,218.5
Richard H. Stallings3
Joe Biden2
Richard A. Gephardt2
Gary W. Hart1
Lloyd M. Bentsen1

Jackson's supporters said that since their candidate had finished in second place, he was entitled to the vice-presidential spot. Dukakis disagreed, and instead selected Senator Lloyd Bentsen from Texas. Bentsen's selection led many in the media to dub the ticket the "Boston-Austin" axis, and to compare it to the pairing of John F. Kennedy and Lyndon B. Johnson in the 1960 presidential campaign. Like Dukakis and Bentsen, Kennedy and Johnson were from Massachusetts and Texas respectively.



Other nominations



Libertarian Party




Former Representative Ron Paul ran on the Libertarian ticket. He returned to the House of Representatives in 1997 as a Republican.


Ron Paul and Andre Marrou formed the ticket for the Libertarian Party. Their campaign called for the adoption of a global policy on military nonintervention, advocated an end to the federal government's involvement with education, and criticized Reagan's "bailout" of the Soviet Union. Paul was a former member of the U.S. House of Representatives, first elected as a Republican from Texas in an April 1976 special election. He protested the War on Drugs in a letter to Drug Czar William Bennett.[when?]



New Alliance Party


Lenora Fulani ran for the New Alliance Party, and focused on issues concerning unemployment, healthcare, and homelessness. The party had full ballot access, meaning Fulani and her running mate, Joyce Dattner, were the first women to receive ballot access in all 50 states.[40] Fulani was the first African American to do so.



Socialist Party


Willa Kenoyer and Ron Ehrenreich ran for the Socialist Party, advocating a decentralist government approach with policies determined by the needs of the workers.



Populist Party



David E. Duke stood for the Populist Party. A former leader of the Louisiana Ku Klux Klan, he advocated a mixture of White nationalist and separatist policies with more traditionally conservative positions, such as opposition to most immigration from Latin America and to affirmative action.



Rhinoceros Party


Bill Lee ran for the Rhinoceros Party who ran on a platform which included bulldozing the Rocky Mountains so Alberta could receive a few extra hours of sunlight and banning guns and butter. His slogan was "No guns No butter", since both can kill. During his campaign he also stated "I want to do away with chairs, get a country that can stand up for itself instead of sitting on their rear ends waiting for politicians to tell them which way the wind is blowing".[41][42][43][44]



General election



Campaign


During the election, the Bush campaign sought to portray Governor Dukakis as a "Massachusetts liberal" who was unreasonably left wing. Dukakis was attacked for such positions as opposing mandatory recitation of the Pledge of Allegiance in schools, and being a "card-carrying member of the ACLU" (a statement Dukakis made himself early in the primary campaign). Dukakis responded by saying that he was a "proud liberal" and that the phrase should not be a bad word in America. Bush, a graduate of Yale University, derided Dukakis for having "foreign-policy views born in Harvard Yard's boutique."[45]New York Times columnist Maureen Dowd asked "Wasn't this a case of the pot calling the kettle elite?" Bush said that, unlike Harvard, Yale's reputation was "so diffuse, there isn't a symbol, I don't think, in the Yale situation, any symbolism in it.... Harvard boutique to me has the connotation of liberalism and elitism," and said Harvard in his remark was intended to represent "a philosophical enclave" and not a statement about class.[46] Columnist Russell Baker opined that "Voters inclined to loathe and fear elite Ivy League schools rarely make fine distinctions between Yale and Harvard. All they know is that both are full of rich, fancy, stuck-up and possibly dangerous intellectuals who never sit down to supper in their undershirt no matter how hot the weather gets."[47]




Michael Dukakis on tank


Governor Dukakis attempted to quell criticism that he was ignorant on military matters by staging a photo op in which he rode in an M1 Abrams tank outside a General Dynamics plant in Sterling Heights, Michigan.[48] The move ended up being regarded as a major public relations blunder, with many mocking Dukakis's appearance as he waved to the crowd from the tank. Footage of Dukakis was used by the Bush campaign as evidence he would not make a good commander-in-chief, and the incident remains a commonly cited example of backfired public relations outings.[49][50]




Michael Dukakis at a campaign rally at UCLA's Pauley Pavilion on the eve of the 1988 election


One reason for Bush's choice of running mate, Senator Dan Quayle, was to appeal to a younger generation of Americans identified with the "Reagan Revolution". Quayle's looks were praised by Senator John McCain: "I can't believe a guy that handsome wouldn't have some impact."[51] Quayle was not a seasoned politician, however, and made a number of embarrassing statements. The Dukakis team attacked Quayle's credentials, saying he was "dangerously inexperienced to be first-in-line to the presidency."[52]


During the Vice Presidential debate, Quayle attempted to dispel such allegations by comparing his experience with that of former Senator John F. Kennedy, who had also been a young political rookie when running for the presidency (Kennedy had served fourteen years in Congress to Quayle's twelve). Quayle said, "I have as much experience in the Congress as Jack Kennedy did when he sought the presidency." "Senator, I served with Jack Kennedy. I knew Jack Kennedy," Dukakis's running mate, Lloyd Bentsen, responded. "Jack Kennedy was a friend of mine. Senator, you're no Jack Kennedy."[53]


Quayle responded, "That was really uncalled for, Senator," to which Bentsen said, "You are the one that was making the comparison, Senator, and I'm one who knew him well. And frankly I think you are so far apart in the objectives you choose for your country that I did not think the comparison was well-taken."


Quayle's reaction to Bentsen's comment was played and replayed by the Democrats in subsequent television ads as an announcer intoned, "Quayle: just a heartbeat away." Despite much press about the Kennedy comments, this did not reduce the Bush-Quayle lead in the polls. Quayle had sought to use the debate to criticize Dukakis as too liberal rather than go point for point with the more seasoned Bentsen. Bentsen's attempts to defend Dukakis received little recognition, with greater attention on the Kennedy comparison.


During the course of the campaign, Dukakis fired his deputy field director Donna Brazile after she spread rumors that Bush had an affair with his assistant Jennifer Fitzgerald.[54] The relationship of George H.W. Bush and Jennifer Fitzgerald would be briefly rehashed during the 1992 campaign.[55][56]


Dukakis was badly hurt by the Republican "Willie Horton",[57] "Revolving Door", and "Boston Harbor"[58] campaign ads, the latter of which attacked the governor's failure to clean up environmental pollution in the harbor. Dukakis was a supporter of a state prison furlough program, which had begun before he was governor. The program had resulted in the release of convicted murderer Willie Horton, who then committed a rape and assault in Maryland. As Governor, Dukakis had vetoed a 1976 plan to bar inmates convicted of first-degree murder from the furlough program. The program was abolished by the state legislature in April 1988 after public outcry over the Willie Horton case.


A number of false rumors about Dukakis were reported in the media, including the claim by Idaho Republican Senator Steve Symms that Dukakis's wife Kitty had burned an American flag to protest the Vietnam War,[59] as well as the claim that Dukakis himself had been treated for a mental illness.[60]Lee Atwater was accused of having floated these rumors.[61]


Voters were split as to who won the first presidential debate.[62] Bush improved in the second debate. Before the second debate, Dukakis had been suffering from the flu and spent much of the day in bed. His performance was poor and played to his reputation as being intellectually cold. Reporter Bernard Shaw asked Dukakis whether he would support the death penalty if his wife were raped and murdered; Dukakis's answer discussed the statistical ineffectiveness of capital punishment. Several commentators thought the question itself was unfair, in that it injected an irrelevant emotional element into the discussion of a policy issue, but many observers felt Dukakis's answer lacked the normal emotions one would expect of a person asked about a loved one's rape and death.[63]Tom Brokaw of NBC reported on his October 14 newscast, "The consensus tonight is that Vice President George Bush won last night's debate and made it all the harder for Governor Michael Dukakis to catch and pass him in the 25 days remaining. In all of the Friday morning quarterbacking, there was common agreement that Dukakis failed to seize the debate and make it his night."[64]



Polling










































































Poll source
Date(s)
administered
Sample
size

Margin of
error
George
Bush (R)
Michael
Dukakis (D)
Other
Undecided

NBC News/Wall Street Journal
October 23–26, 1988
1,285 LV
± 3%

51%
42%



NBC News/Wall Street Journal
October 14–16, 1988
1,378 LV
± 3%

55%
38%



Gallup
September 14–19, 1988
1,020 RV
± 3%

47%
42%



ABC News/Washington Post
September 14–19, 1988
1,271 LV
± 3%

50%
46%



Gallup
July 21–22, 1988
948 RV
± 4%
38%

55%



New York Times/CBS News
July 8–10, 1988
1,001 RV
± %
41%

47%



Gallup
June 24–26, 1988
1,056 RV
± 3%
41%

46%



New York Times/CBS News
May 9–12, 1988
1,056 RV
± %
39%

49%



Results




Chief Justice William Rehnquist administering the oath of office to President George H. W. Bush on January 20, 1989 at the United States Capitol




Election results by county.

  George H.W. Bush

  Michael Dukakis



In the November 8 election, Bush won a majority of the popular vote and a lopsided majority (40) of states in the Electoral College.[65]


Bush performed very strongly among suburban voters, perhaps owing to his campaign themes of law and order, punctuated by his criticisms of the Massachusetts furlough program, as well as his "read my lips, no new taxes" pledge.[citation needed] This was a boon in several swing states. In Illinois, Bush won 69% in DuPage County and 63% in Lake County, suburban areas which adjoin Chicago's Cook County. In Pennsylvania, he swept the group of suburban counties that surround Philadelphia, including Bucks, Delaware, Chester, and Montgomery. Bush also won most of the counties in Maryland. New Jersey, known at the time for its many suburban voters and its moderate Republicanism, went easily for Bush.


In contrast to the suburbs, Bush's percentage of votes in rural counties was significantly below the support they gave Reagan in 1980 and 1984. In Illinois, Bush lost a number of downstate counties that previously went for Reagan. He lost the state of Iowa by a surprisingly wide margin, losing counties all across the state even in traditionally Republican areas. The rural state of West Virginia remained narrowly in the Democratic column. Bush also performed weaker in the northern counties of Missouri, narrowly winning that state. In three typically solid Republican states, Kansas, South Dakota, and Montana, the vote was much closer than usual. The farm states had fared poorly since the recession of the mid-to-late 1970s and early 1980s, and Dukakis was the beneficiary of these agricultural problems.[citation needed] Probably as a result of this, 1988 is the only election since 1916 when Blaine County, Montana supported a losing Presidential candidate,[66] the only occasion since 1948 when Sargent County, North Dakota did not support the winning candidate,[67] and the last occasion as of 2016 when neighbouring Marshall County, South Dakota did not predict the winner.[68]


Bush's greatest area of strength was in the South, where he won most states by wide margins. He also performed very well in the Northeast, winning Maine (where he had a residence), New Hampshire (at the time a Republican stronghold), Vermont (at the time a bastion of liberal and moderate Republicanism), and Connecticut (where his father Prescott Bush had been a senator). Bush lost New York by a margin of just over 4%. He also won Delaware, a swing state at the time. Despite the presence of Lloyd Bentsen on the Democratic ticket (and other Texans getting prominent roles at the Democratic convention), Bush won Texas by 12 points. He lost the Pacific northwestern states but kept California in the Republican column for the sixth straight time, however the margin was rather narrow as he won it by 3.57% a sign of the state moving more to the left. This was, to date, the last presidential election in which a Republican candidate won California.


Bush carried certain states that have not voted for a Republican since, such as Vermont, all of Maine, Connecticut, New Jersey, Delaware, Maryland, Illinois, and California, while Michigan and Pennsylvania would not vote Republican again until 2016, as did Maine's 2nd congressional district. Meanwhile, New Mexico wouldn't vote Republican again until 2004, and Arkansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Missouri, Nevada, New Hampshire, Ohio, and Tennessee wouldn't vote Republican again until 2000. This election was the last time that a Republican was elected president without winning West Virginia. Neither his victory percentage (53.4%) nor his total electoral votes (426) have been surpassed in any subsequent presidential election. Barack Obama came closest in the former with 52.9% in 2008, and Bill Clinton closest in the latter with 379 electoral votes in 1996. Bush was the last candidate to receive an absolute majority of the popular vote until his son George W. Bush's 2004 election. This was the last election to date in which a Republican presidential nominee won a majority of Northern electoral votes, and was also the first election since 1960 when the state of Wisconsin backed the losing candidate as well.[citation needed] This was also the last election until 2016 in which Wisconsin did not vote the same as Illinois.[citation needed]This is the first time a Republican won presidential election without
carrying Iowa (2000 was the only other time that happened) and the second time a Republican
was elected without carrying Oregon (The first was 1868,120 years ago).
The two most closely contested states were Washington, where Dukakis won by less than 2% of the vote, and Illinois, which Bush won by slightly more than 2%.


Bush's campaign was also the last time to date that a Republican presidential campaign won a majority or plurality among women voters.[69]



Statistics










































































Presidential candidate
Party
Home state
Popular vote
Electoral
vote
Running mate
Count
Percentage
Vice-presidential candidate
Home state
Electoral vote

George Herbert Walker Bush

Republican
Texas
48,886,597
53.37%
426

James Danforth Quayle

Indiana
426

Michael Stanley Dukakis

Democratic

Massachusetts
41,809,476
45.65%
111

Lloyd Millard Bentsen, Jr.
Texas
111

Lloyd Millard Bentsen, Jr.

Democratic
Texas
(a)(a)1

Michael S. Dukakis

Massachusetts
1

Ronald Ernest Paul

Libertarian
Texas
431,750
0.47%
0

Andre Verne Marrou

Alaska
0

Lenora Fulani

New Alliance

Pennsylvania
217,221
0.24%
0

(b)

0

Other
249,642
0.27%


Other

Total
91,594,686
100%
538

538
Needed to win
270

270

Source (popular vote): "Electoral College Box Scores 1789–1996". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved August 7, 2005. , Leip, David. "1988 Presidential Election Results". Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections. Retrieved August 7, 2005. 


Source (electoral vote): "Electoral College Box Scores 1789–1996". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved August 7, 2005. 
(a)West Virginia faithless elector Margarette Leach voted for Bentsen as president and Dukakis as vice president in order to make a statement against the U.S. Electoral College.
(b)Fulani's running mate varied from state to state.[70] Among the six vice presidential candidates were Joyce Dattner, Harold Moore,[71] and Wynonia Burke.[72]





















Popular vote
Bush
53.37%
Dukakis
45.65%
Paul
0.47%
Others
0.51%

















Electoral vote
Bush
79.18%
Dukakis
20.63%
Bentsen
0.19%


ElectoralCollege1988-Large.png



Results by state


Source:[73]


States/districts won by Bush/Quayle
States/districts won by Dukakis/Bentsen


































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































George H.W. Bush
Republican
Michael Dukakis
Democratic
Ron Paul
Libertarian
Lenora Fulani
New Alliance
Margin
State Total
State
electoral
votes
#
%
electoral
votes
#
%
electoral
votes
#
%
electoral
votes
#
%
electoral
votes
#
%
#


Alabama
9
815,576
59.17
9
549,506
39.86

8,460
0.61

3,311
0.24

266,070
19.30
1,378,476
AL

Alaska
3
119,251
59.59
3
72,584
36.27

5,484
2.74

1,024
0.51

46,667
23.32
200,116
AK

Arizona
7
702,541
59.95
7
454,029
38.74

13,351
1.14

1,662
0.14

248,512
21.21
1,171,873
AZ

Arkansas
6
466,578
56.37
6
349,237
42.19

3,297
0.40

2,161
0.26

117,341
14.18
827,738
AR

California
47
5,054,917
51.13
47
4,702,233
47.56

70,105
0.71

31,180
0.32

352,684
3.57
9,887,064
CA

Colorado
8
728,177
53.06
8
621,453
45.28

15,482
1.13

2,539
0.19

106,724
7.78
1,372,394
CO

Connecticut
8
750,241
51.98
8
676,584
46.87

14,071
0.97

2,491
0.17

73,657
5.10
1,443,394
CT

Delaware
3
139,639
55.88
3
108,647
43.48

1,162
0.47

443
0.18

30,992
12.40
249,891
DE

D.C.
3
27,590
14.30

159,407
82.65
3
554
0.29

2,901
1.50

−131,817
−68.34
192,877
DC

Florida
21
2,618,885
60.87
21
1,656,701
38.51

19,796
0.46

6,655
0.15

962,184
22.36
4,302,313
FL

Georgia
12
1,081,331
59.75
12
714,792
39.50

8,435
0.47

5,099
0.28

366,539
20.25
1,809,672
GA

Hawaii
4
158,625
44.75

192,364
54.27
4
1,999
0.56

1,003
0.28

−33,739
−9.52
354,461
HI

Idaho
4
253,881
62.08
4
147,272
36.01

5,313
1.30

2,502
0.61

106,609
26.07
408,968
ID

Illinois
24
2,310,939
50.69
24
2,215,940
48.60

14,944
0.33

10,276
0.23

94,999
2.08
4,559,120
IL

Indiana
12
1,297,763
59.84
12
860,643
39.69




10,215
0.47

437,120
20.16
2,168,621
IN

Iowa
8
545,355
44.50

670,557
54.71
8
2,494
0.20

540
0.04

−125,202
−10.22
1,225,614
IA

Kansas
7
554,049
55.79
7
422,636
42.56

12,553
1.26

3,806
0.38

131,413
13.23
993,044
KS

Kentucky
9
734,281
55.52
9
580,368
43.88

2,118
0.16

1,256
0.09

153,913
11.64
1,322,517
KY

Louisiana
10
883,702
54.27
10
734,281
44.06

4,115
0.25

2,355
0.14

166,242
10.21
1,628,202
LA

Maine
4
307,131
55.34
4
243,569
43.88

2,700
0.49

1,405
0.25

63,562
11.45
555,035
ME

Maryland
10
876,167
51.11
10
826,304
48.20

6,748
0.39

5,115
0.30

49,863
2.91
1,714,358
MD

Massachusetts
13
1,194,644
45.38

1,401,406
53.23
13
24,251
0.92

9,561
0.36

−206,762
−7.85
2,632,805
MA

Michigan
20
1,965,486
53.57
20
1,675,783
45.67

18,336
0.50

2,513
0.07

289,703
7.90
3,669,163
MI

Minnesota
10
962,337
45.90

1,109,471
52.91
10
5,109
0.24

1,734
0.08

−147,134
−7.02
2,096,790
MN

Mississippi
7
557,890
59.89
7
363,921
39.07

3,329
0.36

2,155
0.23

193,969
20.82
931,527
MS

Missouri
11
1,084,953
51.83
11
1,001,619
47.85




6,656
0.32

83,334
3.98
2,093,228
MO

Montana
4
190,412
52.07
4
168,936
46.20

5,047
1.38

1,279
0.35

21,476
5.87
365,674
MT

Nebraska
5
398,447
60.15
5
259,646
39.20

2,536
0.38

1,743
0.26

138,801
20.96
662,372
NE

Nevada
4
206,040
58.86
4
132,738
37.92

3,520
1.01

835
0.24

73,302
20.94
350,067
NV

New Hampshire
4
281,537
62.49
4
163,696
36.33

4,502
1.00

790
0.18

117,841
26.16
450,525
NH

New Jersey
16
1,743,192
56.24
16
1,320,352
42.60

8,421
0.27

5,139
0.17

422,840
13.64
3,099,553
NJ

New Mexico
5
270,341
51.86
5
244,497
46.90

3,268
0.63

2,237
0.43

25,844
4.96
521,287
NM

New York
36
3,081,871
47.52

3,347,882
51.62
36
12,109
0.19

15,845
0.24

−266,011
−4.10
6,485,683
NY

North Carolina
13
1,237,258
57.97
13
890,167
41.71

1,263
0.06

5,682
0.27

347,091
16.26
2,134,370
NC

North Dakota
3
166,559
56.03
3
127,739
42.97

1,315
0.44

396
0.13

38,820
13.06
297,261
ND

Ohio
23
2,416,549
55.00
23
1,939,629
44.15

11,989
0.27

12,017
0.27

476,920
10.85
4,393,699
OH

Oklahoma
8
678,367
57.93
8
483,423
41.28

6,261
0.53

2,985
0.25

194,944
16.65
1,171,036
OK

Oregon
7
560,126
46.61

616,206
51.28
7
14,811
1.23

6,487
0.54

−56,080
−4.67
1,201,694
OR

Pennsylvania
25
2,300,087
50.70
25
2,194,944
48.39

12,051
0.27

4,379
0.10

105,143
2.32
4,536,251
PA

Rhode Island
4
177,761
43.93

225,123
55.64
4
825
0.20

280
0.07

−47,362
−11.71
404,620
RI

South Carolina
8
606,443
61.50
8
370,554
37.58

4,935
0.50

4,077
0.41

235,889
23.92
986,009
SC

South Dakota
3
165,415
52.85
3
145,560
46.51

1,060
0.34

730
0.23

19,855
6.34
312,991
SD

Tennessee
11
947,233
57.89
11
679,794
41.55

2,041
0.12

1,334
0.08

267,439
16.34
1,636,250
TN

Texas
29
3,036,829
55.95
29
2,352,748
43.35

30,355
0.56

7,208
0.13

684,081
12.60
5,427,410
TX

Utah
5
428,442
66.22
5
207,343
32.05

7,473
1.16

455
0.07

221,099
34.17
647,008
UT

Vermont
3
124,331
51.10
3
115,775
47.58

1,003
0.41

205
0.08

8,556
3.52
243,333
VT

Virginia
12
1,309,162
59.74
12
859,799
39.23

8,336
0.38

14,312
0.65

449,363
20.50
2,191,609
VA

Washington
10
903,835
48.46

933,516
50.05
10
17,240
0.92

3,520
0.19

−29,681
−1.59
1,865,253
WA

West Virginia
6
310,065
47.46

341,016
52.20
5



2,230
0.34

−30,951
−4.74
653,311
WV

Wisconsin
11
1,047,499
47.80

1,126,794
51.41
11
5,157
0.24

1,953
0.09

−79,295
−3.62
2,191,608
WI

Wyoming
3
106,867
60.53
3
67,113
38.01

2,026
1.15

545
0.31

39,754
22.52
176,551
WY
TOTALS:
538
48,886,597
53.37
426
41,809,476
45.65
111
431,750
0.47

217,221
0.24

7,077,121
7.73
91,594,686
US


Close states


States with margin of victory less than 5% (195 electoral votes):


  1. Washington, 1.59%

  2. Illinois, 2.09%

  3. Pennsylvania, 2.31%

  4. Maryland, 2.91%

  5. Vermont, 3.52%

  6. California, 3.57%

  7. Wisconsin, 3.61%

  8. Missouri, 3.98%

  9. New York, 4.10%

  10. Oregon, 4.67%

  11. West Virginia, 4.74%

  12. New Mexico, 4.96%

States with margin of victory between 5% and 10% (70 electoral votes):


  1. Connecticut, 5.11%

  2. Montana, 5.87%

  3. South Dakota, 6.34%

  4. Minnesota, 7.01%

  5. Colorado, 7.78%

  6. Massachusetts, 7.85%


  7. Michigan, 7.90% (tipping point state)

  8. Hawaii, 9.52%


Voter demographics


















































































































The 1988 presidential vote by demographic subgroup
Demographic subgroup
Dukakis
Bush
% of
total vote
Total vote
46
53
100
Ideology

Liberals
82
18
20

Moderates
51
49
45

Conservatives
19
81
33
Party

Democrats
83
17
37

Republicans
8
92
35

Independents
43
57
26
Gender
Men
42
58
48
Women
49
51
52
Race

White
40
60
85

Black
89
11
10

Hispanic
70
30
3
Age
18–29 years old
47
53
20
30–44 years old
46
54
35
45–59 years old
42
58
22
60 and older
49
51
22
Family income
Under $12,500
63
37
12
$12,500–25,000
43
57
20
$25,000–35,000
43
57
20
$35,000–50,000
43
57
20
$50,000–100,000
39
61
19
Over $100,000
33
67
5
Region

East
49
51
25

Midwest
47
53
28

South
41
59
28

West
47
53
19
Union households

Union
57
43
25

Source: CBS News and The New York Times exit poll from the Roper Center for Public Opinion Research (11,645 surveyed)[74]



See also


  • United States House of Representatives elections, 1988

  • United States Senate elections, 1988

  • United States gubernatorial elections, 1988

  • History of the United States (1988–present)

  • Al Gore presidential campaign, 1988

  • Inauguration of George H. W. Bush


References




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  2. ^ A faithless Democratic elector voted for Bentsen for president and Dukakis for vice president


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Further reading


  • Germond, Jack W., and Jules Witcover. Whose Broad Stripes and Bright Stars? (1989), narrative by two famous reporters


  • Gopoian, J. David (1993). "Images and issues in the 1988 presidential election". Journal of Politics. 55 (1): 151–66. doi:10.2307/2132233. 


  • Lemert, James B.; Elliott, William R.; Bernstein, James M.; Rosenberg, William L.; Nestvold, Karl J. (1991). News Verdicts, the Debates, and Presidential Campaigns. New York: Praeger. ISBN 0-275-93758-5. 


  • Moreland, Laurence W.; Steed, Robert P.; Baker, Tod A. (1991). The 1988 Presidential Election in the South: Continuity Amidst Change in Southern Party Politics. New York: Praeger. ISBN 0-275-93145-5. 


  • Runkel, David R. (1989). Campaign for President: The Managers Look at '88. Dover: Auburn House. ISBN 0-86569-194-0. 


  • Stempel, Guido H. III; Windhauser, John W. (1991). The Media in the 1984 and 1988 Presidential Campaigns. New York: Greenwood Press. ISBN 0-313-26527-5. 


External links



  • United States presidential election of 1988 at Encyclopædia Britannica

  • 1988 popular vote by counties

  • 1988 popular vote by state

  • 1988 popular vote by states (with bar graphs)

  • Campaign commercials from the 1988 election


  • How close was the 1988 election? at the Wayback Machine (archived August 25, 2012)—Michael Sheppard, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (archived)


  • Senator Paul Simon Papers at Southern Illinois University Carbondale


  • Booknotes interview with Jack Germond and Jules Whitcover on Whose Broad Stripes and Bright Stars? The Trivial Pursuit of the Presidency 1988, August 27, 1989.


  • Booknotes interview with Arthur Grace on Choose Me: Portraits of a Presidential Race, December 10, 1989.


  • Booknotes interview with Paul Taylor on See How They Run: Electing the President in an Age of Mediaocracy, November 4, 1990.


  • Booknotes interview with Richard Ben Cramer on What It Takes: The Way to the White House, July 26, 1992

  • Election of 1988 in Counting the Votes